CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1047e89523e29fafaaf2399782a99bc83d713a4385788fb309f2c6d426f6dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 2,230$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.92 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision | 47c | 1,385$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.71 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX | 2c | 869.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 702.69$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.6 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX | 78c | 616.27$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.53 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 3DMAX | 62c | 330.37$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX | 62c | 269$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 269$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked 3DMAX | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c7…a79fbacked Lynn Vision | 35c | 191.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Lynn Vision | 42c | 178.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 161.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lynn Vision | 61c | 98.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Lynn Vision | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 69.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked Lynn Vision | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed 3DMAX | 63c | 36.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked 3DMAX | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed 3DMAX | 55c | 29.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed 3DMAX | 63c | 19.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)Lynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.