Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Princeton vs. Brown
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22094a0b21fd3d81a0db5d743a5adf175e53af8c4a7ebea51c29312be2596dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownof Princeton, Brown
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Princeton | 5c | 3,819$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brown | 77c | 1,000$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Princeton | 2c | 878.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 1cpaid | +1,608.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brown | 32c | 796.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.52 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Princeton | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Princeton | 68c | 293.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Princeton | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Princeton | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Brown | 36c | 217$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Princeton | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b1…3e18backed Princeton | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…1bc3backed Brown | 36c | 142$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…1abdbacked Princeton | 64c | 142$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…f5d2backed Brown | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…8613backed Brown | 36c | 132$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Brown | 33c | 125.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…04b2backed Princeton | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…0c46backed Brown | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…f3c8backed Princeton | 65c | 93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…06acbacked Princeton | 64c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…c8a9backed Brown | 36c | 86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…689abacked Brown | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…38c7backed Brown | 36c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Princeton | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…1a1cbacked Brown | 36c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…04fabacked Princeton | 64c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Brown | 35c | 66.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Brown | 39c | 64.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Princeton | 64c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Princeton | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed Brown | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…ed12backed Princeton | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…6017backed Princeton | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…5f00backed Princeton | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e348backed Brown | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb3…058dbacked Princeton | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…2713backed Princeton | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…2a68backed Princeton | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…a07dbacked Princeton | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…8b2bbacked Princeton | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…d6eabacked Princeton | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…7853backed Princeton | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…db54backed Princeton | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…c6afbacked Brown | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…86ffbacked Princeton | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Princeton | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…ee9ebacked Princeton | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d4…de1bbacked Princeton | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…05e4backed Princeton | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…7d2dbacked Princeton | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…4cc0backed Brown | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…c8b0backed Princeton | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…9bf5backed Princeton | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…2a1dbacked Princeton | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4e9fbacked Brown | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…264cbacked Brown | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…fc20backed Brown | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…96b3backed Princeton | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…2494backed Brown | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…460ebacked Princeton | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…9596backed Brown | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…d072backed Princeton | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Princeton | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.