Euroleague · resolved market
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2fe7fba4f8df6765969ffb51b00f49437ee4b719d2251fa17e70e63f7a77bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Pioneersof Sichuan Blue Whales, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 9,636$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.91 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 4,631$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 4,574$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 1,857$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 1,346$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 870.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 762.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 565.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 443.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 404.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.