Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane vs. Tulsa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf321f5c83d70dec713e43be5617a74a697026769acb99678a68760ee1b883c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Tulane, Tulsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tulsa | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tulane | 66c | 981.48$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulane | 30c | 324$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…d836backed Tulsa | 50c | 223$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…a3bfbacked Tulsa | 72c | 148$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…9162backed Tulane | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…5a19backed Tulane | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…8578backed Tulane | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…bf3ebacked Tulsa | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6613backed Tulsa | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…5a45backed Tulsa | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…39c5backed Tulane | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…3ca0backed Tulsa | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675e…d4d8backed Tulsa | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…476ebacked Tulane | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…0dcebacked Tulane | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…e8edbacked Tulane | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…55b8backed Tulsa | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…89a4backed Tulsa | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…36e7backed Tulane | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…b550backed Tulsa | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…d102backed Tulane | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…624dbacked Tulsa | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…c41dbacked Tulane | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…5370backed Tulane | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…a5e6backed Tulsa | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.