Tennis · resolved market
Wuxi: Rigele Te vs Dane Sweeny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36f4260add38c9ad464ed05f87233fd9120d11559bd18d2a9def82b27f0f5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dane Sweenyof Rigele Te, Dane Sweeny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rigele Te | 2c | 16,553$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.42 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rigele Te | 7c | 12,735$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Rigele Te | 13c | 2,129$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Rigele Te | 8c | 1,600$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Rigele Te | 8c | 1,573$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Rigele Te | 8c | 1,464$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Rigele Te | 8c | 885.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rigele Te | 12c | 869.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Rigele Te | 8c | 768.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rigele Te | 6c | 638.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rigele Te | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…bc73backed Rigele Te | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Rigele Te | 6c | 387.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Rigele Te | 12c | 383$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Rigele Te | 14c | 361.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Rigele Te | 6c | 357.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rigele Te | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rigele Te | 8c | 211.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Rigele Te | 15c | 205.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Rigele Te | 6c | 204.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 95 | 27.4%26 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Rigele Te | 7c | 177.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Rigele Te | 6c | 172.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Rigele Te | 12c | 154.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Rigele Te | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Rigele Te | 12c | 106.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Rigele Te | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Dane Sweeny | 77c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dane Sweeny | 72c | 24.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.