MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38f75512365efd91f9620590c016c679e2fa172bcac7e34541cc9ea0212244e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 14,348$6,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,617.95 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 3,858$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.42 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 3,188$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 1,938$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.37 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 1,884$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.74 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 1,327$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.31 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 1,057$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 875.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.29 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 623.76$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.21 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 342.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 332.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 272$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 185.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 89.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.