Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3df2da9d5b05fd9917e2cffb790242183b5a387d721aa6d542b62a275d637ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 74c | 1,020$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 743.8$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 530.12$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 292.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 39c | 290$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 56c | 201.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 64c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 123.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 108.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 67c | 99.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 37c | 95.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 40c | 87.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 83.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 65c | 76.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 54c | 74.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Under | 74c | 73.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 62.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 32c | 47.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Under | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 39.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Under | 50c | 34.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 33.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 62c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.