MLB · resolved market
Sutton United FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3e415861e92f020744e028c7ff86671c5257b2a94db3264d00f100349742b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 21c | 1,189$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 27c | 1,122$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 76c | 394.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 375$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 75c | 307.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 79c | 210.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 125.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 73c | 61.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 643 | 54.1%348 W · 295 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 80c | 32.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 72c | 27.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sutton United FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sutton United FC vs. Southend United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sutton United FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sutton United FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.