Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Stephen F. Austin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ee2ef786885de822d6a5416ed1cb24ca233ed53dc86dedeea8036fffd528be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austinof UT Rio Grande Valley, Stephen F. Austin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Stephen F. Austin | 49c | 1,684$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stephen F. Austin | 52c | 1,664$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.73 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stephen F. Austin | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stephen F. Austin | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.91 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Stephen F. Austin | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…bd80backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…6ad1backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…2cecbacked Stephen F. Austin | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…5637backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…2bbdbacked Stephen F. Austin | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Stephen F. Austin | 30c | 64.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…32f0backed Stephen F. Austin | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…07b8backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…ec7dbacked Stephen F. Austin | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6a…020ebacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…a2e0backed Stephen F. Austin | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…9f9bbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…399cbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…cfe9backed Stephen F. Austin | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…c37cbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…f3c8backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…c675backed Stephen F. Austin | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…9825backed Stephen F. Austin | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…b173backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…c5c3backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…625cbacked Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d8…2da3backed Stephen F. Austin | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…2bcbbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…031abacked Stephen F. Austin | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…6855backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…1adebacked Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…c4f2backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…e671backed Stephen F. Austin | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +109%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…edfdbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…69e9backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…8404backed Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6075backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…75f8backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…979dbacked Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…0a3dbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…e09abacked Stephen F. Austin | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…5fe8backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…5497backed Stephen F. Austin | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e348backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…cd74backed Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Stephen F. Austin | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…ae11backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…ba4bbacked Stephen F. Austin | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…b566backed Stephen F. Austin | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…12c1backed Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…0caebacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…0aa3backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fe…6ec5backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…c581backed Stephen F. Austin | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…f2fdbacked Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…1022backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…203fbacked Stephen F. Austin | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…7e6fbacked Stephen F. Austin | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cd90backed Stephen F. Austin | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Stephen F. Austin | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…da60backed Stephen F. Austin | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.