Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson vs. Florida State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4420ba747814216d5342ff9eb22403634dd4da2346c4871c5b506d2f0129042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof Clemson, Florida State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Florida State | 37c | 975.7$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.11 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Clemson | 65c | 809.09$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clemson | 63c | 801.18$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Florida State | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…28dbbacked Florida State | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…fe17backed Florida State | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…566dbacked Florida State | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Florida State | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…7631backed Clemson | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…b988backed Florida State | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…dfd2backed Florida State | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…8044backed Clemson | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…70a1backed Clemson | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…277cbacked Clemson | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…839dbacked Florida State | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…268bbacked Clemson | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…1a17backed Clemson | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…538dbacked Clemson | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…c5c6backed Clemson | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…e92ebacked Clemson | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2e94backed Clemson | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…f29abacked Clemson | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff2…ce78backed Clemson | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…d660backed Clemson | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…6b33backed Florida State | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…25afbacked Clemson | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Clemson | 63c | 19.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Clemson | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.