Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44b65cd156c849bc6cee7f44d4cc9b0cea7be4ce49461daeca28b87ca79ff7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 4c | 11,966$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 17c | 4,053$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.84 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 17c | 4,019$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.17 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,049$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…d7e4backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 901.53$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 884.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 18c | 805.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 7c | 735.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 6c | 697.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 4c | 685.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 5c | 647.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…c8b6backed Yes | 2c | 630.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 17c | 511.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 20c | 455.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 19c | 451.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 403.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 397.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 17c | 286.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8a59backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…0d2abacked Yes | 11c | 279.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 229.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 212.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 5c | 201.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 6c | 199.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 17c | 169.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 18c | 155.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 18c | 140.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 130.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…cd18backed Yes | 16c | 124.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d88…da04backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…2a53backed Yes | 17c | 117.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…ff73backed Yes | 17c | 114.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…67b4backed Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…4d6dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 18c | 110.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…fffdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…ff53backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…36f4backed Yes | 14c | 86.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 17c | 79.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…ed80backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes | 18c | 65.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 17c | 60.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 79c | 22.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.