South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf456e7fd4c941c25d0e4f96581b0863b42a204d4a151a6fd351c89931167d124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Academia Puerto Cabelloof CA Mineiro, Academia Puerto Cabello
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked CA Mineiro | 23c | 1,048$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Mineiro | 19c | 577.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CA Mineiro | 22c | 358.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 77c | 265.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Academia Puerto Cabello | 77c | 177.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 171.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA Mineiro | 22c | 158.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked CA Mineiro | 26c | 108.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Mineiro | 23c | 68.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 33.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 33.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 27.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 76c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Academia Puerto Cabello | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 78c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Academia Puerto Cabello | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)this page
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.