Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf46c3ee3efb2b8761709ad0c72d3c73edf57b9a0807203a2539db8541f1a43b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of LOUD, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cloud9 | 69c | 160.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked LOUD | 31c | 152.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…1403backed Cloud9 | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 29cpaid | +582.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…a0edbacked Cloud9 | 63c | 118.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked LOUD | 37c | 86.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed LOUD | 23c | 46.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked LOUD | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Cloud9 | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Cloud9 | 71c | 32.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Cloud9 | 61c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Cloud9 | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Cloud9 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaLOUD won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.