Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Yuta Shimizu vs Federico Cina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47f1275cdad60b9dad29344039615a0359df011f4f200bf63248891e2e40450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cinaof Shimizu, Cina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shimizu | 3c | 4,520$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shimizu | 23c | 2,300$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Cina | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Shimizu | 29c | 408.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cina | 72c | 359.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cina | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Cina | 72c | 238$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Shimizu | 5c | 230.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cina | 73c | 191.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shimizu | 19c | 184$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shimizu | 19c | 166$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Shimizu | 30c | 144.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shimizu | 26c | 143.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Cina | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Shimizu | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…ac97backed Cina | 74c | 105.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…1d1bbacked Cina | 73c | 103.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…cbf4backed Shimizu | 27c | 100.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…2cdebacked Shimizu | 27c | 100.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Cina | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shimizu | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shimizu | 26c | 92.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Cina | 72c | 88.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Cina | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cina | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Shimizu | 26c | 42.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Cina | 75c | 37.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Cina | 71c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Cina | 72c | 19.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Cina | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6773…ec82backed Cina | 74c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.