Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morehead State vs. Western Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf493284645390e86ec106e7fc79d65dfae588e2b7339295147456d15d2adab50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Illinoisof Morehead State, Western Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Western Illinois | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Morehead State | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Western Illinois | 46c | 849.7$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.54 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Morehead State | 54c | 761.75$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.35 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…9deabacked Morehead State | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…5fa5backed Western Illinois | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Western Illinois | 18c | 56.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…2be4backed Morehead State | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…addbbacked Western Illinois | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…eb9bbacked Western Illinois | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…6f9dbacked Western Illinois | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…5524backed Morehead State | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…c675backed Western Illinois | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Morehead State | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Morehead State | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…eb2fbacked Western Illinois | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…1232backed Morehead State | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8d…e57bbacked Morehead State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…41a3backed Morehead State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…f991backed Western Illinois | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…afc8backed Western Illinois | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…3d3ebacked Western Illinois | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3363…9f51backed Morehead State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…f8f2backed Morehead State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…45e5backed Morehead State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…981abacked Morehead State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6171…2ddebacked Morehead State | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…60b8backed Western Illinois | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2410…ceb1backed Morehead State | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cce…9455backed Western Illinois | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d32…bc94backed Morehead State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…8491backed Morehead State | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.