TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Merrimack College Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Merrimack College Warriorsof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Merrimack College Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacred Heart Pioneers8c2,599$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.384,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers30c1,682$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Merrimack College Warriors70c1,412$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.615851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers26c1,330$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors79c832.5$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Merrimack College Warriors70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sacred Heart Pioneers25c486$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.752,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Merrimack College Warriors75c485.55$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.521,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sacred Heart Pioneers22c309.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers28c281.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.865910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Merrimack College Warriors77c249.35$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.354973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Merrimack College Warriors74c162$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Merrimack College Warriors71c159$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.111,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sacred Heart Pioneers24c148.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.393,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Sacred Heart Pioneers13c144.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Merrimack College Warriors75c134.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Merrimack College Warriors70c119.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9931537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Merrimack College Warriors72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.334,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sacred Heart Pioneers30c45.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.742,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Sacred Heart Pioneers32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors71c38.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.333,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Merrimack College Warriors70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Merrimack College Warriors71c28.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.054658.7%27 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Merrimack College Warriors79c16.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.