Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Barueri (Brazil), hard: Lan Mi vs Carolina Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf552351227e7838cf497c4030b2cea0928295246fe9fc9f0452ed797be83aa97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lan Miof Lan Mi, Carolina Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lan Mi | 69c | 15,652$10,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.93 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carolina Alves | 32c | 14,080$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.66 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Carolina Alves | 26c | 2,054$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.92 | 266 | 44.4%118 W · 148 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Lan Mi | 66c | 281.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lan Mi | 44c | 265.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Carolina Alves | 60c | 237.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lan Mi | 68c | 217.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lan Mi | 75c | 199.31$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Carolina Alves | 32c | 131.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Carolina Alves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 52.3%230 W · 210 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Carolina Alves | 68c | 74.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1,095 | 73.6%806 W · 289 L | +40.3wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lan Mi | 32c | 72.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Lan Mi | 45c | 69.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Carolina Alves | 32c | 64.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 481 | 39.9%192 W · 289 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lan Mi | 52c | 63.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lan Mi | 70c | 60.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lan Mi | 74c | 59.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Carolina Alves | 37c | 58.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Carolina Alves | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Carolina Alves | 67c | 30.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 336 | 67.9%228 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Carolina Alves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 76.5%78 W · 24 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lan Mi | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Lan Mi | 76c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 249 | 73.5%183 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Carolina Alves | 63c | 20.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 822 | 62.2%511 W · 311 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Carolina Alves | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.