Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5799f874efb6c3415bea9c60bac2e3b73912d236e58bd7bebb44b4d30d44777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Virginia Cavaliers, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Cavaliers | 47c | 2,045$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.97 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 1,895$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.51 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 824$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.52 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 816.8$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.06 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 672.06$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.81 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 523.91$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 47c | 504$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 59c | 468.71$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 251.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Cavaliers | 39c | 234.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 199.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 155.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 49c | 111.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 49c | 111.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 41.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 46c | 31.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-14.5)this page
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.