Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUSION vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6008727f20eb83d74c834dd8e8e844c2f46fd6d6ce13a6926e02b40eb3aa0c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chivas Esportsof FUSION, Chivas Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FUSION | 0c | 3,707$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Chivas Esports | 69c | 2,415$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.07 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed FUSION | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed FUSION | 37c | 562.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed FUSION | 16c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed FUSION | 22c | 162$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FUSION | 18c | 116.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed FUSION | 47c | 104.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed FUSION | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked FUSION | 17c | 60.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Chivas Esports | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Chivas Esports | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Chivas Esports | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Chivas Esports | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Chivas Esports | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Chivas Esports | 77c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Chivas Esports | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chivas Esports | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Chivas Esports | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Chivas Esports | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Chivas Esports | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Chivas Esports | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Chivas Esports | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUSION vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: FUSION vs Chivas Esports - Map 1 WinnerChivas Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.