Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Iryna Shymanovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b8eeb94788e7bbefb47865a8b45294a62e89221aba3f98d6228e4b8a7e29d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shymanovichof Escorihuela, Shymanovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Escorihuela | 2c | 2,379$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Escorihuela | 52c | 368.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Shymanovich | 53c | 357.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shymanovich | 58c | 144.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Escorihuela | 39c | 107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Escorihuela | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0e72backed Escorihuela | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Escorihuela | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Escorihuela | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Shymanovich | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Escorihuela | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Shymanovich | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Escorihuela | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Shymanovich | 70c | 53.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…cb41backed Escorihuela | 44c | 50.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shymanovich | 65c | 49.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Escorihuela | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Escorihuela | 25c | 40.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Shymanovich | 66c | 37.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shymanovich | 70c | 33.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Escorihuela | 45c | 33.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Shymanovich | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…00a4backed Shymanovich | 55c | 25.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Shymanovich | 74c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.