Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
MD Eastern Shore vs. Howard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c775d1f55bf1b9dfba406c12f695de400c3ddaee98e882262698bca643a3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howardof MD Eastern Shore, Howard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MD Eastern Shore | 10c | 358$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked MD Eastern Shore | 10c | 209.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…8d8bbacked Howard | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee9fbacked Howard | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MD Eastern Shore | 10c | 110.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…addbbacked MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…cf7cbacked MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…1ca9backed MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…c74bbacked MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…1571backed MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…0e36backed MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f6…04e3backed Howard | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7b73backed MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…3e0fbacked Howard | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…dc91backed Howard | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…3a12backed Howard | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…3728backed MD Eastern Shore | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…2dcebacked MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…0d36backed Howard | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…52dbbacked Howard | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe9…5f24backed Howard | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…cf46backed MD Eastern Shore | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed Howard | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.