Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tanger: Karim Bennani vs Johan Nikles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d164dd0822a21dddcfa152652ac5349cce9b716e994d4d82161b26a19065e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karim Bennaniof Karim Bennani, Johan Nikles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Karim Bennani | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johan Nikles | 54c | 394.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Karim Bennani | 46c | 198.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Johan Nikles | 40c | 110.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Johan Nikles | 60c | 88.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Johan Nikles | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Johan Nikles | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karim Bennani | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Johan Nikles | 62c | 30.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Johan Nikles | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karim Bennani | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Johan Nikles | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Johan Nikles | 68c | 26.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karim Bennani | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Karim Bennani | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karim Bennani | 51c | 19.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Tanger: Karim Bennani vs Johan Niklesthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bennani vs NiklesBennani won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.