Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Viborg FF win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f2c0443c1b5fa998585e4bd44c542152bd0873c796631d18f00a2e3a32ac93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 5,450$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 3,503$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.37 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,942$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…630cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,395$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,391$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.09 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,227$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,096$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 933.52$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Yes | 71c | 590.63$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 440$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 395$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…6f17backed Yes | 74c | 372.72$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 25c | 358.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…ab51backed Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 249.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…3536backed Yes | 21c | 222.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 22c | 152.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Yes | 72c | 138.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…8dbcbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 49c | 132.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked No | 30c | 66.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 31c | 36.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 17.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viborg FF win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Viborg FF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.