NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf81111f27e74570bf63a3b1c1f0ba54eb95b738cecf4beb1740e1214dcb8ab91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockford IceHogsof Rockford IceHogs, Grand Rapids Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed5b…eb1dbacked Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 1,170$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 1,130$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…a1cfbacked Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 830$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…66aebacked Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 750$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…d24dbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 690$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…27b7backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 680$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 631$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…e6c6backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 540$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…0207backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 539$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…d4c2backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 532$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833f…f564backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 530$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…cd84backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 524$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed Rockford IceHogs | 30c | 507$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…c613backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 490$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…e081backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 440$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…d6e4backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 420$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…1cabbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 415$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…bab2backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 410$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…26f9backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 380$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…7cefbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 370$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…3c28backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 277$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 276$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…1cb8backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…e5a3backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…155dbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…c525backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 267$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…f89fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 265$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5fe5backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 265$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c3e0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 262$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…7becbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 260$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 259$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…5ebcbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 231$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…16a7backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 216$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 165$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 134$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Rockford IceHogs | 28c | 105.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 72c | 91.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 70c | 70.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Rockford IceHogs | 29c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Rockford IceHogs | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Rockford IceHogs | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Rockford IceHogs | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 72c | 40.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Rockford IceHogs | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Rockford IceHogs | 29c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…6b26backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 72c | 13.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.