CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82c342aceeab19a43ddb1c4dbc04948d818b9500941f6a980b13e7be2064b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,020 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 29c | 951.5$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ground Zero | 30c | 564.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 56c | 416.15$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 71c | 338.9$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 218.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 211.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Ground Zero | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Ground Zero | 13c | 194.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ground Zero | 10c | 152.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Ground Zero | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Ground Zero | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Ground Zero | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…91bfbacked Ground Zero | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Ground Zero | 20c | 76.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Ground Zero | 46c | 76.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ground Zero | 33c | 74.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 73.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Ground Zero | 20c | 50.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…0c88backed Ground Zero | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 40.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…9274backed Ground Zero | 43c | 36.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 31.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Ground Zero | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…391ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 64c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…b150backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 17.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…fdf8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.