TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$352,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under49c88,999$43,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,609.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c69,731$33,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,563.671,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over52c66,949$34,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,249.713951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over53c15,150$8,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,130.58740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under47c12,069$5,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676.8114952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Under49c8,061$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Under49c4,282$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.084641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9604461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d60…14b3backed Under49c3,401$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa544…e40fbacked Over51c2,742$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d0…fa41backed Over51c2,708$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x334a…db04backed Under49c2,613$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a3…09a7backed Under49c2,550$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f28…ce03backed Over51c2,366$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d9…e50fbacked Over51c2,319$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c91…a39abacked Under49c2,296$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fd…1409backed Over51c2,154$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec53…e599backed Over51c2,053$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…1e60backed Under49c2,001$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c1…6c36backed Over51c1,991$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47b5…b3b2backed Under49c1,982$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ff…3791backed Under49c1,948$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…01f1backed Over51c1,932$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.68616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc585…1b72backed Over51c1,923$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce8…9ea5backed Under49c1,916$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…0591backed Under49c1,906$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.9440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c3e…8fe8backed Under49c1,835$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…e1dbbacked Over51c1,833$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c5…2316backed Under49c1,811$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a78…bd69backed Under49c1,762$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92c…2e48backed Over51c1,717$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7878…d30bbacked Under49c1,707$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1253…9868backed Over51c1,706$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb32…3c6cbacked Over51c1,684$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf7…3ff1backed Under49c1,673$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…1941backed Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Over51c1,613$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…e11dbacked Over51c1,575$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe65…ced6backed Under49c1,517$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70aa…15f8backed Over51c1,494$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…a6f9backed Over51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5057…531abacked Over51c1,429$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c1,426$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5930657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdf…cc39backed Over51c1,405$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…bc6bbacked Over51c1,403$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113a…1251backed Over51c1,399$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed Under49c1,398$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ad…c966backed Over51c1,392$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c33…8279backed Under49c1,357$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde29…2cd6backed Under49c1,320$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c4…530dbacked Over51c1,315$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…a4bdbacked Under49c1,292$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c45…92adbacked Over51c1,283$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0e…ce49backed Over51c1,261$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9875…70f5backed Over51c1,255$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.95922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…1e67backed Over51c1,246$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf458…c988backed Over51c1,230$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.7922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid-63.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d6…10d5backed Under49c1,215$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…431ebacked Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d3…3912backed Over51c1,197$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb61…9488backed Over51c1,189$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90c…acf0backed Over51c1,189$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed30…f3b3backed Under49c1,175$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…a493backed Over51c1,172$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe51…cfc7backed Under49c1,164$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf835…2702backed Under49c1,163$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36be…e8a7backed Over51c1,145$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…b6ffbacked Under49c1,123$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9460…71edbacked Over51c1,109$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…4e09backed Under49c1,097$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Under49c1,078$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4c…94ecbacked Over51c1,067$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x608e…80b7backed Over51c1,065$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ce…e647backed Under49c1,063$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d6c1backed Over51c1,056$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81b…a52bbacked Over51c1,055$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d42…e4d1backed Over51c1,046$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d1…d5b0backed Under49c1,041$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…f402backed Over51c1,040$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…3a78backed Over51c1,039$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0c…af73backed Over51c1,024$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8162…426abacked Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…c278backed Under49c1,018$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x992c…3ae9backed Under49c1,014$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe859…61cebacked Over51c1,009$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa9…f37ebacked Over51c1,006$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over52c1,004$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.979643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…63adbacked Under49c1,003$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b37…4e5abacked Over51c1,001$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x464c…5b77backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c58…dc05backed Under49c993$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x291f…6cf3backed Under49c988$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffa…9f0ebacked Over51c985$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43d…a201backed Over51c981$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda8…bf52backed Over51c958$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6982backed Under49c955$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.