Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morehead State vs. Lindenwood
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83e42c86b1afb6ff39339767f0f59722afb69d07feec675ef5a31ff2aa4abe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lindenwoodof Morehead State, Lindenwood
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0693…7be4backed Lindenwood | 50c | 696$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42e…7f0abacked Lindenwood | 52c | 573$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed Morehead State | 48c | 378$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…fd6dbacked Morehead State | 50c | 351$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…9a1ebacked Morehead State | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…b15cbacked Morehead State | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…26b4backed Lindenwood | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a72…bddfbacked Morehead State | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…06cbbacked Morehead State | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…7aebbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…5536backed Morehead State | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…d255backed Lindenwood | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…de9cbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…187bbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…f9a3backed Morehead State | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…c012backed Morehead State | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…ace3backed Lindenwood | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…65efbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed Lindenwood | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…d495backed Lindenwood | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…845cbacked Morehead State | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb320…03b8backed Lindenwood | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…c144backed Morehead State | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf670…7037backed Morehead State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…0c3bbacked Morehead State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4252backed Morehead State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6443…2740backed Lindenwood | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…0851backed Morehead State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…10c4backed Lindenwood | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc61…eefdbacked Morehead State | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…f770backed Lindenwood | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…cc95backed Morehead State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…0b38backed Morehead State | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…88a9backed Morehead State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…7ec0backed Lindenwood | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…26d5backed Morehead State | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…6ea0backed Lindenwood | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…bb54backed Morehead State | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…e519backed Morehead State | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…78d4backed Lindenwood | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…ca59backed Morehead State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a1…7022backed Lindenwood | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…72e8backed Morehead State | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…aea6backed Morehead State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…d891backed Lindenwood | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da2…499fbacked Morehead State | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…188fbacked Morehead State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125d…80bdbacked Morehead State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…3b43backed Morehead State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…09aebacked Lindenwood | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…321ebacked Morehead State | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…d8f7backed Lindenwood | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…c930backed Morehead State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…f1f0backed Morehead State | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…6cfebacked Morehead State | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ead7backed Morehead State | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…1157backed Morehead State | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…2a8abacked Lindenwood | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…62d2backed Lindenwood | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…2101backed Morehead State | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f8…0be0backed Lindenwood | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…04a9backed Lindenwood | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…8a3bbacked Morehead State | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc211…689bbacked Morehead State | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…dbb0backed Lindenwood | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…eff8backed Lindenwood | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.