Tennis · resolved market
Sao Leopoldo: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Juan Carlos Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89189d53a7c979b3f29430eb0e72d4ffcfc4af9f80e3e6d51111a209882bf27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Carlos Pradoof Daniel Dutra da Silva, Juan Carlos Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 16c | 14,685$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.92 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 9c | 6,504$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.94 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…336cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 15c | 2,333$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.81 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 18c | 2,255$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.21 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 6c | 1,607$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 80c | 1,231$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 838.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 9c | 736.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…2d85backed Juan Carlos Prado | 69c | 551.96$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 6c | 518.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 20c | 431.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 75c | 392.7$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 16c | 346.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 308.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 10c | 192.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 148.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 71c | 136.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 122.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 73c | 93.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 18c | 63.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 74c | 53.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 27c | 44.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 25c | 42.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 26c | 42.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Carlos Prado | 70c | 31.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.