Lol · resolved market
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs FN Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phase
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89bdf91024c0090fcf548b463ac21af6df5984e04ff6ad0cfb8de8823bd3920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FN Esportsof GnG Amazigh, FN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7777…4016backed GnG Amazigh | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…e225backed GnG Amazigh | 30c | 500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed GnG Amazigh | 28c | 339.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked FN Esports | 72c | 278.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed FN Esports | 14c | 140.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed FN Esports | 69c | 101.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed GnG Amazigh | 30c | 82.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed GnG Amazigh | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…dcc5backed FN Esports | 71c | 57.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked FN Esports | 72c | 49.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed FN Esports | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GnG Amazigh vs FN Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phasethis page
- LoL: GnG Amazigh vs FN Esports - Game 1 WinnerFN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.