Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b0fdfac049df54e21c0dba043dc8c20bf4522b26555abc5719a4f3c5ddc530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennesseeof Middle Tennessee, UTEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bac…7ee8backed UTEP | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f647backed UTEP | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…8fddbacked Middle Tennessee | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…39a8backed Middle Tennessee | 50c | 191$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…2092backed UTEP | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…43e9backed Middle Tennessee | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…c27abacked UTEP | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…fd7abacked Middle Tennessee | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…9bbfbacked Middle Tennessee | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…ac8abacked Middle Tennessee | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…2c06backed UTEP | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…f0cdbacked UTEP | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…e11abacked Middle Tennessee | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…d3b4backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…1fccbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a29…04afbacked UTEP | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ca…1d6cbacked UTEP | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34bc…6eaabacked UTEP | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…35adbacked Middle Tennessee | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…d140backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…f579backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…f37bbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac5…b6cabacked UTEP | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9bfbbacked UTEP | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…2c17backed UTEP | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…a127backed UTEP | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…fa21backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…7d0dbacked UTEP | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.