CS2 · resolved market
CS: Alliance vs BC.Game
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96ee61b5f4ad5ea243b42548b2e2b87158332cd783d28aa26c1414503a5cf94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC.Gameof Alliance, BC.Game
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alliance | 3c | 1,114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked BC.Game | 35c | 1,032$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.14 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Alliance | 76c | 849.67$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.16 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Alliance | 38c | 715.79$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Alliance | 38c | 704.96$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked BC.Game | 64c | 308.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed BC.Game | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alliance | 28c | 277.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed BC.Game | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked BC.Game | 69c | 269.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed BC.Game | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Alliance | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Alliance | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed BC.Game | 40c | 161.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Alliance | 36c | 149.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…1f97backed Alliance | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Alliance | 64c | 96.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BC.Game | 70c | 89.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Alliance | 41c | 76.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009e…e119backed Alliance | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…8949backed Alliance | 45c | 55.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked BC.Game | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.