Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9924f7b9131f299f02e4a1a52d8b89c8b1c916969bdbef941dfcd271a9e3b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,836 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,770$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 2,765$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.4 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 37c | 829.64$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 737.49$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 43c | 327.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 301.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 269.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 203.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 187.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 168.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 121.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 17c | 120.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 104.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 78.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 57c | 74.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 62c | 46.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed No | 44c | 43.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 39.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…25e3backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 38c | 35.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 43c | 34.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yes | 30c | 34.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 57c | 18.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.