TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Searle (-1.5) vs Jacquet (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacquetof Searle, Jacquet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jacquet70c246$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Searle31c180.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Searle26c180.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.832,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Searle30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Jacquet66c30.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3955748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Jacquet67c29.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8525550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Searle49c28.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8813040%52 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jacquet51c28.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.881,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Jacquet70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Jacquet72c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.431657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.