CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9cbc2b072342e2f6933ab837eb9b96079330e4f2261bdfe5e8e1e473cd30690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- against All authorityof against All authority, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Just Players | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed against All authority | 29c | 453.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Just Players | 72c | 403.54$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.76 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked against All authority | 40c | 389.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 32c | 332.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Just Players | 14c | 308.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked against All authority | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 34c | 232.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed against All authority | 26c | 120.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed against All authority | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed against All authority | 70c | 119.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked against All authority | 77c | 95.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Just Players | 21c | 91.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Just Players | 72c | 84.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Just Players | 72c | 84.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked against All authority | 72c | 82.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Just Players | 14c | 74.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Just Players | 23c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed Just Players | 77c | 31.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Just Players | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players | 39c | 26.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Just Players | 74c | 13.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Just Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Just Players - Map 2 Winneragainst All authority won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.