Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa03d6b46cba100d3484b1a65684aeaea472a795c13e9f1158d82695bccdb098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arevalo/Pavicof Helioevaara/Patten, Arevalo/Pavic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Arevalo/Pavic | 75c | 1,227$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Helioevaara/Patten | 42c | 841.14$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Helioevaara/Patten | 28c | 422$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arevalo/Pavic | 49c | 327.79$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Helioevaara/Patten | 63c | 310$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arevalo/Pavic | 75c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Helioevaara/Patten | 62c | 128.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 43c | 110.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Helioevaara/Patten | 63c | 77.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 301 | 50.2%151 W · 150 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Helioevaara/Patten | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Helioevaara/Patten | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Helioevaara/Patten | 63c | 63.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Arevalo/Pavic | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Arevalo/Pavic | 58c | 53.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Arevalo/Pavic | 54c | 35.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…73ccbacked Helioevaara/Patten | 38c | 28.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…a2cfbacked Helioevaara/Patten | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…c834backed Helioevaara/Patten | 61c | 17.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.