Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0e99cfe33e5147928b02af17d11181417f6322609f7f522b0c4f8ff8a30e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yangon Galacticosof Yangon Galacticos, InterActive Philippines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b54…4dd0backed InterActive Philippines | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 61c | 349.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked InterActive Philippines | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked InterActive Philippines | 23c | 268.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed InterActive Philippines | 12c | 236.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 202.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 185.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 143.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked InterActive Philippines | 36c | 128.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 12c | 109.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 80.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked InterActive Philippines | 37c | 80.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 79.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yangon Galacticos | 80c | 77.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 73.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yangon Galacticos | 66c | 65.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed InterActive Philippines | 31c | 39.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…eaeabacked InterActive Philippines | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…0726backed Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.