CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa4844cc0225679ba4f655fd27ec3d2096b8e6fca9e1df9448ec4e19fbc946dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof Team Novaq, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 861.49$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 611.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Novaq | 64c | 168.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Team Novaq | 75c | 167.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Team Novaq | 59c | 166.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 146.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 124.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…9577backed Team Novaq | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 89.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…8785backed Team Novaq | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…307fbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 61.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Team Novaq | 69c | 46.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed Team Novaq | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerTeam Novaq won
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.