CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Brute (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa63fe8e480d94a0d611e1984db055a2a76709988b88a6b55aca0fbe5994d183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Acend | 65c | 3,270$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.21 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Brute | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Brute | 28c | 786.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Brute | 31c | 694.84$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Brute | 29c | 649.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 34c | 515$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Brute | 56c | 499.88$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.13 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Acend | 59c | 335.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Brute | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Acend | 66c | 181.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Brute | 29c | 178.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 43c | 177.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 38c | 174.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Acend | 74c | 172.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Acend | 75c | 159.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 38c | 115.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Acend | 74c | 109.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…a065backed Brute | 21c | 98.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Acend | 67c | 91.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Acend | 69c | 65.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Acend | 78c | 64.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Acend | 80c | 61.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb88f…434dbacked Acend | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Acend | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 34c | 55.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Brute | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Brute | 34c | 51.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Acend | 73c | 44.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…c56bbacked Brute | 34c | 43.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Acend | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Acend | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 338 | 69.8%236 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Acend | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Brute (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.