Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa79ade540ffa86ccb5ff5b63a392949890ec9724f3660eea94398d6d509356e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 3,328$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 30c | 643.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 26c | 585.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 13c | 444.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 20c | 410.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 332.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed North Dakota State Bison | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 11c | 262.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 229.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Dakota State Bison | 79c | 228.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 29c | 107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 80c | 98.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 16c | 72.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 22c | 68.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 21c | 66.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota State Bison | 78c | 29.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed North Dakota State Bison | 65c | 24.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.