Euroleague · resolved market
Bilbao Basket vs. Unicaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad9ab3af5dbced0538c02c3dc4fb7f47ab0336fed1359f0e8fac7bcb452fb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilbao Basketof Bilbao Basket, Unicaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Unicaja | 48c | 2,003$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bilbao Basket | 51c | 840.88$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.2 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Bilbao Basket | 57c | 549.87$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Unicaja | 49c | 200.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 151.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bilbao Basket | 59c | 111$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Unicaja | 41c | 107.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Unicaja | 52c | 103.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 84.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Unicaja | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 57.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Unicaja | 48c | 52.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Unicaja | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Bilbao Basket | 52c | 41.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Bilbao Basket | 51c | 31.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilbao Basket | 51c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bilbao Basket | 66c | 16.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.