Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Old Dominion vs. Georgia Southern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb7ea04d81dded00aa274e106ac827b148ee1512db304ed34d63abf48cb78ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Old Dominion, Georgia Southern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Georgia Southern | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Old Dominion | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…e9d0backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…c9c3backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdb…23a4backed Old Dominion | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…3269backed Old Dominion | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…0e7abacked Old Dominion | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…0cc1backed Old Dominion | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…dfb0backed Old Dominion | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa512…671cbacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…e9ebbacked Old Dominion | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…f8aebacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…8bbfbacked Georgia Southern | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…1c38backed Old Dominion | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Georgia Southern | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…647ebacked Old Dominion | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…50c3backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0757…2720backed Old Dominion | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…b98dbacked Georgia Southern | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…3e0fbacked Georgia Southern | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f9b8backed Old Dominion | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…5966backed Georgia Southern | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…a187backed Georgia Southern | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…5c97backed Old Dominion | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…8862backed Georgia Southern | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed Old Dominion | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce52…1752backed Old Dominion | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…ca73backed Old Dominion | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Georgia Southern | 70c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…9c7bbacked Old Dominion | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…f937backed Georgia Southern | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…ede5backed Old Dominion | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d7…dee1backed Georgia Southern | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.