CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc4d0643708da84ec4780c41dc2ecfeae5bedba23444565515c35c5dde08fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof Hashiras, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,805 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Novaq | 55c | 1,165$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.15 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Hashiras | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Hashiras | 26c | 836.34$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Hashiras | 48c | 529.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 32c | 483.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Hashiras | 57c | 424.56$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 51c | 387.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Novaq | 52c | 288.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Novaq | 49c | 107.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Hashiras | 30c | 105.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Novaq | 64c | 102.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 69.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Team Novaq | 61c | 67.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Team Novaq | 55c | 54.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hashiras | 49c | 53.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hashiras | 54c | 52.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Team Novaq | 56c | 48.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Team Novaq | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Team Novaq | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Hashiras | 46c | 41.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…53fabacked Hashiras | 53c | 35.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Hashiras | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…e0cbbacked Team Novaq | 54c | 30.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…da9fbacked Hashiras | 43c | 28.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Hashiras | 67c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Team Novaq (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group ATeam Novaq won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerTeam Novaq won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.