Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclones (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfced02c773130af52849a69a2060c1e40f6801a6b14d929f364d1c77555165be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Iowa State Cyclones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 91.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 34c | 86.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Iowa State Cyclones | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.