La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd1c97b35221bff3bf1777ae43c24da5bf934fb917d86cc0a5b79969bd6e3e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 17,657$9,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,005.21 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked No | 50c | 4,300$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 49c | 2,175$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.75 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,175$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.65 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 1,989$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.24 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 51c | 1,753$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.57 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 955.72$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 697.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 445.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 369.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 298.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 50c | 296.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 74c | 204.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 202.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 51c | 182.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 23c | 172.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 148.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 79c | 147.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 141.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 29c | 137.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 51c | 108.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked No | 51c | 100.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 95.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 50c | 41.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 60c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…b968backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 77c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.