CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda23738ae412e2742bc6847c1fe483d7e791776ce2176d059baf01f0c3483ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 1,034$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 77c | 554.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Fluxo W7M | 40c | 484.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed paiN | 78c | 414.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed paiN | 71c | 413.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Fluxo W7M | 24c | 204.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed paiN | 76c | 201.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed paiN | 15c | 99.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed paiN | 78c | 78.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 58.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed paiN | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked paiN | 78c | 15.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.