CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdcb83d21bd54bc68fe1053ecb560ac46a4852f902b522bdebfb147a1d79ab46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof MASONIC, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,052 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ECSTATIC | 68c | 3,802$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.68 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MASONIC | 29c | 2,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked MASONIC | 45c | 1,114$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 34c | 1,105$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MASONIC | 33c | 802.77$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MASONIC | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ECSTATIC | 75c | 480.65$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 448$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 435.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed MASONIC | 25c | 408.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MASONIC | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MASONIC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed ECSTATIC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MASONIC | 40c | 132.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed ECSTATIC | 49c | 125.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 121$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 43c | 102.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ECSTATIC | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…9b3ebacked MASONIC | 46c | 79.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ECSTATIC | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed MASONIC | 17c | 60.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MASONIC | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 51.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed MASONIC | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MASONIC | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed MASONIC | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…813cbacked MASONIC | 52c | 22.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…adbdbacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 22.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.