Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd8939c18399ab0ef7e6621b0d999a33b4a6333060569ff08c3f5dedc1b0a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Khachanov, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,746 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889f…7dd8backed Khachanov | 50c | 2,498$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Landaluce | 50c | 2,440$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…c7dabacked Landaluce | 52c | 576.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Khachanov | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Landaluce | 51c | 420.21$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Khachanov | 51c | 268.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Khachanov | 48c | 210.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Khachanov | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 961 | 35.4%340 W · 621 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Landaluce | 48c | 174.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Landaluce | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Landaluce | 51c | 138.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Khachanov | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Landaluce | 48c | 101.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Landaluce | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 582 | 40%233 W · 349 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Khachanov | 49c | 73.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Khachanov | 49c | 61.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Khachanov | 48c | 51.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Khachanov | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Khachanov | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Landaluce | 56c | 43.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Landaluce | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 2,445 | 51.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…853bbacked Khachanov | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Khachanov | 48c | 24.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Landaluce vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen KhachanovMartin Landaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.