CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs BOSS (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdeb95fcb9599472e063faa91e49beac1a48ea0a90668962522cedf66245509e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof LAG Gaming, BOSS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BOSS | 27c | 634.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BOSS | 20c | 336.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BOSS | 6c | 314.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed BOSS | 22c | 207$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BOSS | 7c | 204.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LAG Gaming | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed LAG Gaming | 52c | 158.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed BOSS | 47c | 103.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed LAG Gaming | 71c | 96.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BOSS | 28c | 79.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BOSS | 48c | 64.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed BOSS | 39c | 50.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked BOSS | 55c | 41.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed BOSS | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed BOSS | 48c | 39.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed LAG Gaming | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.