Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe02c574ed80649506b7edbe0cfb786f34572447092b69a78baebc6ad05c4d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 15,686$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 79c | 9,283$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.34 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 79c | 7,200$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 12c | 3,694$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.86 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 2,222$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 80c | 2,050$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,254$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 79c | 992.75$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.76 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 851$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 17c | 798.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…32e3backed Yes | 21c | 390.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 21c | 312.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 80c | 308.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 308.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…7c0ebacked No | 80c | 307.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 80c | 248.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 11c | 239$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 80c | 158$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…78afbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 152$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 80c | 145.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…a29ebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 134.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 113.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 110.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yes | 20c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 20c | 79.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 21c | 59.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 20c | 50.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.