College Football · resolved market
East Carolina vs. NC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8da20d323936ae657a7f4a20f2d9cbbd8de4907fa17c4e2ead0b02dcf72a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Stateof East Carolina, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked East Carolina | 17c | 1,332$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed East Carolina | 18c | 1,263$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked East Carolina | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…4581backed East Carolina | 8c | 999.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed East Carolina | 15c | 679.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked East Carolina | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed East Carolina | 18c | 568.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed East Carolina | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed East Carolina | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked East Carolina | 18c | 412.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed East Carolina | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed East Carolina | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…b5c7backed East Carolina | 18c | 296$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked East Carolina | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked East Carolina | 16c | 199.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed East Carolina | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked East Carolina | 19c | 145.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed East Carolina | 16c | 143.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed East Carolina | 18c | 113.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked East Carolina | 19c | 101.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked East Carolina | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked East Carolina | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked East Carolina | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed East Carolina | 17c | 68.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…9070backed East Carolina | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed NC State | 80c | 60.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked East Carolina | 23c | 55.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.